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Position Paper: CenSES Energy demand projections towards 2050
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Author list
Eva Rosenberg
Institute
for Energy
Technology
Kari Aamodt
Espegren
Institute
for Energy
Technology
OlavWicken
University of
Oslo, TIK
Erling Holden
Sogn og
Fjordane
University
College
Marianne
Ryghaug
NTNU
Department of
Interdisciplinary
Studies of
Culture
Knut Holtan
Sørensen
NTNU
Department of
Interdisciplinary
Studies of
Culture
Table of Contents
Author list
4
1. Executive summary
5
2. Introduction and scope
8
3. Analysing framework
9
3.1. Methodology
9
3.2. Scenarios
11
3.3. Assumptions
12
4. Projections by sector
13
4.1. Residential sector
13
4.1.1. Energy service demand
13
4.1.2. Energy consumption
15
4.1.3. Story – residential
16
4.2. Service sector
18
4.2.1. Energy service demand
18
4.2.2. Energy consumption
18
4.3. Industry sector
20
4.3.1. Energy service demand
20
4.3.2. Energy consumption
21
4.3.3. Story – Industry
22
4.4. Transportation sector
24
4.4.1. Energy service demand
24
4.4.2. Energy consumption
24
4.4.3. Story – Transport
26
5. Total energy consumption
28
5.1. Final energy consumption
28
5.2. Electricity production
28
6. Discussion
30
7. References
34