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29 Position paper - CenSES 1/2015
9 Energy service demand and final energy consumption in the reference path
Energy service demand Final energy consumption («purchased»)
2010 2030 2050 Unit Change 2010-2050 2010 2030 2050 Unit Change 2010-2050
ry sector 3.2 3.9 4.3 TWh +34% 3.2 3.9 4.3 TWh + 38%
truction 1.6 2.0 2.2 TWh +38% 1.6 2.0 2.2 TWh +38%
ce 30.5 32.0 35.2 TWh +15% 29.3 31.3 36.1 TWh +23%
ential 44.0 51.1 55.3 TWh +26% 46.5 50.2 52.0 TWh +12%
try 77.7 78.1 78.1 TWh +1% 80.7 78.9 78.7 TWh -2%
stationary 157.0 167.1 175.1 TWh +11% 161.3 166.3 173.4 TWh +8%
enger cars 32.3 41.5 49.4 Bv-km +53% 20.8 13.2 13.9 TWh -33%
s 0.64 0.69 0.79 Bv-km +24% 1.4 1.5 1.7 TWh +19%
s 12.2 19.1 25.7 Bv-km +108% 15.8 21.6 29.2 TWh +85%
transport 23.4 29.7 35.3 TWh +50% 23.4 29.7 35.3 TWh + 51%
energy 223 232 253 TWh +14 %
21 Statistical final energy consumption 1990-2013
ojection of final energy consumption of analysed
ios 2010-2050 (TWh/year)
Figure 22 Statistical electricity consumption 1976-2013
and projection of electricity consumption of analysed
scenarios 2010-2050 (TWh/year)
23 Power production and net electricity trade
2050 in the reference path (TWh/year)
Figure 24 Net power trade with neighbouring countries
in the different scenarios in 2020-2050 (TWh/year)
Position Paper: CenSES Energy demand projections towards 2050 27
Table 9 Energy service demand and final energy consumption in the reference path
Energy service demand Final energy consumption («purchased»)
2010 2030 2050 Unit Change 2010-2050 2010 2030 2050 Unit Change 2010-2050
Primary sector 3.2 3.9 4.3 TWh +34% 3.2 3.9 4.3 TWh + 38%
Construction 1.6 2.0 2.2 TWh +38% 1.6 2.0 2.2 TW +38%
Se vice 30.5 32.0 35.2 TWh +15% 29.3 31.3 36.1 TW +23%
Residential 44.0 51.1 55.3 TWh +26% 46.5 50.2 52.0 TWh +12%
Industry 77.7 78.1 78.1 TWh +1% 80.7 78.9 78.7 TWh -2%
Sum stationary 157.0 167.1 175.1 TWh +11% 161.3 166.3 173.4 TWh +8%
Passenger cars 32.3 41.5 49.4 Bv-km +53% 20.8 13.2 13.9 TWh -33%
Buses 0.64 0.69 0.79 Bv-km +24% 1.4 1.5 1.7 TWh +19%
Trucks 12.2 19.1 25.7 Bv-km +108% 15.8 21.6 29.2 TWh +85%
Other transport 23.4 29.7 35.3 TWh +50% 23.4 29.7 35.3 TWh + 51%
Total energy 223 232 253 TWh +14 %
Figure 21 Statistical final energy consumption 1990-2013
and projection of final energy consumption of analysed
scenarios 2010-2050 (TWh/year)
Figure 22 Statistical electricity consumption 1976-2013
and projection of electricity consu ption of analysed
scenarios 2010-2050 (T h/y r)
Figure 23 Power production and net electricity trade
2010-2050 in the reference path (TWh/year)
Figure 24 Net power trade with neighbouring countries
in the different scenarios in 2020-2050 (TWh/year)
Position Paper: CenSES Energy demand projections towards 2050 27
Table 9 Energy service demand and final energy consumption in the reference path
Energy service demand Final energy consumption («purchased»)
2010 20 0 2050 Unit Change 2010-2050 2010 2030 2050 Unit Change 2010-2050
Primary sector 3.2 3.9 4.3 TWh +34% 3.2 3.9 4.3 TWh + 38%
Construction 1.6 2.0 2.2 TWh +38% 1.6 2.0 2.2 TWh +38%
Service 30.5 32.0 35.2 TWh +15% 29.3 31.3 36.1 TWh +23%
Residential 44.0 51.1 55.3 TWh +26% 46.5 50.2 52.0 TWh +12%
Industry 77.7 8.1 78.1 T h +1% 80.7 78.9 78.7 TWh -2%
Sum stationary 157.0 167.1 175.1 TWh +11% 16 .3 166.3 173.4 TWh +8%
Pass nge cars 32.3 41.5 49.4 v- +53% 20.8 13.2 13.9 TWh -33%
Buses 0.64 0.69 0.79 Bv- +24% 1.4 1.5 1.7 TWh +19%
Trucks 12.2 19.1 25.7 Bv-k +108% 15.8 21.6 29.2 TWh +85%
Other transport 23.4 29.7 35.3 TWh +50% 23.4 29.7 35.3 TWh + 51%
Total energy 223 232 253 TWh +14 %
Figure 21 Statistical final energy consumption 1990-2013
and projection of final energy consumption of analysed
scenarios 2010-2050 (TWh/year)
Figure 22 Statistical electricity consumption 1976-2013
and projection of electricity consumption of analysed
scenarios 2010-2050 (TWh/year)
Figure 23 Power production and net electricity trade
2010-2050 in the reference path (TWh/year)
Figure 24 Net power trade with neighbouring countries
in the different scenarios in 2020-2050 (TWh/year)
Position Paper: CenSES Energy demand projections towards 2050 27
Table 9 Energy service demand and final energy consumption in the reference path
Energy service demand Final energy consumption («purchased»)
2010 2030 2050 Unit Change 2010-2050 2010 2030 2050 Unit Change 2010-2050
Primary sector 3.2 3.9 4.3 TWh 4 3.2 3 4.3 TWh + 38%
Construction 1.6 2.0 2.2 TWh +38 1.6 2.0 2.2 TWh +38%
Service 30.5 32.0 35.2 TWh +15% 29.3 31.3 36.1 TWh +23%
Residential 44.0 51.1 55.3 TWh +26% 46.5 50.2 52.0 TWh +12%
Industry 77.7 78.1 78.1 TWh +1% 80.7 78.9 78.7 TWh -2%
Sum stationary 157.0 167.1 175.1 TWh +11% 161.3 166 3 173.4 TWh +8%
Passenger cars 32.3 41.5 49.4 Bv-km +53% 20.8 13.2 13.9 TWh -33%
Buses 0.64 0.69 0.79 Bv-km +24 1.4 1.5 1.7 TWh +19%
Trucks 12.2 19.1 25.7 Bv-km 15.8 21.6 29.2 TWh +85%
Other transport 23.4 29.7 5.3 TWh 23.4 29.7 35. TWh + 51%
Total energy 2 3 23 253 TWh +14 %
Figure 21 S atistical final energy consumption 1990-2013
and projection of final energy consumption of analysed
scenarios 2010-2050 (TWh/ ear)
Figure 2 Statistical electricity consumption 1976-2013
and projection of electricity consumption of analysed
scenarios 2010-2050 (TWh/year)
Figure 23 Power production and net lectricity trade
2 10-2 50 in the r f rence path (TWh/year)
Figure 24 Net power trade with neighbouring countries
in the different scenarios in 2020-2050 (T h/year)
Position Paper: CenSES Energy demand projections towards 2050 27
Table 9 Energy service demand and final e ergy consumption in the reference path
Energy service demand Final energy consumption («purchased»)
2010 2030 2050 Unit Change 2010-2050 2010 2030 2050 Unit Change 2010-2050
Primary sector 3.2 3.9 4.3 TWh +34% 3.2 3.9 4.3 TWh + 38%
Construction 1.6 2.0 2.2 TWh +38% 6 2.0 2.2 TWh +38%
Service 30.5 2.0 35.2 TWh +15% 29 3 31.3 36.1 TWh +23%
Residential 44.0 51.1 55.3 TWh +26% 46.5 50.2 52.0 TWh +12%
Industry 77.7 78.1 78.1 TWh +1% 80.7 78.9 78.7 TWh -2%
Sum stationary 157.0 167.1 175.1 TWh +11% 161.3 166.3 173.4 TWh +8%
Passenger cars 32.3 41.5 49.4 Bv-km +53% 20.8 13.2 13.9 TWh -33%
Buses 0.64 0.69 0.79 Bv-km +24% .4 1.5 1.7 TWh +19%
Trucks 1 .2 9.1 25.7 Bv-km +108% 15.8 21.6 29.2 TWh +85%
Other transport 23.4 29.7 35.3 TWh +50% 23 4 29.7 35.3 TWh + 51%
Total energy 223 232 253 TWh +14 %
Figure 21 Statistical final energy consumption 1990-2013
and projection of i l e rgy consu ption of analysed
scenarios 2010-2050 (TWh/year)
Figure 22 Sta istical electricity consumption 1976-2013
and projection of elec ri ity consumption of analysed
scenarios 2010-2050 (TWh/year)
Figure 23 Powe productio a d net elec ricity trade
2010-2050 in th reference path (TWh/year)
Figure 24 Net power trade with neighbouring countries
in the different scenarios in 2020-2050 (TWh/year)
ble 9 Energy service dema d and final en rgy consumption in the reference pa
Figure 21 Statistical final energy consumption 1990-20 3 and
projection of final energy consumption f analysed scen rio 2010-2050
(TWh/year)
Figure 22 Statistical electricity consumption 1976-2013 and projection
of electricity consumption of analysed scenarios 2010-2050 (TWh/year)
Figure 23 Power production and net electricity trade 2010-2050 in the
reference path (TWh/year)
Figure 24 Net power trade with neighbouring countries in the different
scenarios in 2020-2050 (TWh/year)