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PHD THESIS

Department of Civil

and Environmental

Engineering

2015 - 2017

Method for Reduced

Uncertainty in Stage-

Discharge Curves

Supervisor:

Nils Rüther

Co-supervisor:

Jochen Aberle

Øyvind Pedersen

Background

Getting reliable stage-discharge data under

extreme flood conditions is essential for good

predictionsoffuturefloodevents.Atthesametime,

the discharge data used for prediction often have a

highlevelofuncertainty.Gettingmorereliableflood

predictions are potentially worth millions in saved

costs for construction of dams and infrastructure,

as well as in preventing damaging floods. This

thesis aims to develop methodology for reducing

the uncertainty in stage-discharge curves using

a hybrid-modelling approach. Hybrid-modelling

involves combining a physical scale-model with a

numerical CFD-model. The PhD-program is part

of the Flom-Q project, which goal is to create a

better flood-prediction framework forNorway. The

lower left figure shows a stage-discharge curve

used for calculating discharge from a measured

water level at a gauging station. Measurements

of the stage-discharge relations typically are done

for a range of discharges from low flow to flood

conditions. At larger floods,measuring discharges

directly can be both difficult and dangerous, and by

definition these floods are rarely occurring events.

Because of this, discharge data for extreme

floods often stem from stage-discharge curves

extrapolated well beyond the measured range.

The goal of this PhD is to develop a method to

obtain better data for the extrapolation.

This figure shows a scale-model of the

Eggafossen gauging station site

The above figure shows a visualization of the

Eggafossen CFD-model

Source: Di Baldassarre et al. 2012

PHD THESIS

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