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15.04.2021


More information to come.

01.04.2021

08.04.2021

Ph.D.Candidate

Lin Xie

Title: Reliability analysis of safety-instrumented systems against cascading failures during prolonged demand durations

Abstract: Cascading failures may occur for many technical systems in situations where one component's failure triggers successive failures. The failure propagations can result in extensive damages to the systems. One can stop the propagations if safety instrumented systems act upon demands to prevent it. The demands have prolonged durations and expose safety instrumented systems to high stresses in some cases. Such stresses cause an increase in failure probabilities of safety instrumented systems. The failures during demands should be considered in the reliability analysis of safety instrumented systems. The traditional reliability measures are applicable for the failures on demands rather than the failures during demands. This paper proposes a new method to model safety instrumented systems to prevent cascading failures, considering the failures on demands and the failures during demands. It is a recursive aggregation method based on reliability block diagrams. Monte Carlo simulations are also employed to verify the method, and the applications are illustrated with a practical case study.

About Speaker: Lin Xie is a Ph.D. Candidate at the RAMS group.

Opponents: Professor Jørn Vatn, Postdoctoral fellow Xingheng Liu

18.03.2021

(Digital only)

Ph.D. Candidate

Nanda Anugrah Zikrullah

Title: Finite-state automata modeling pattern of systems-theoretic process analysis results

Abstract: Hazard analysis using Systems-Theoretic Process Analysis (STPA) can capture a more comprehensive type of hazards, including those caused by dependent and interacting elements. Nevertheless, the method has not been utilized widely in practice. One of the challenges is STPA's lack of guidance for the follow-up evaluation process, especially for transforming qualitative requirements into the quantifiable domain. A modeling approach of STPA results based on the framework for reliability, availability, and maintainability has been proposed. However, the approach lacks a modeling pattern, resulting in uncertainties in the model's conversion process. This paper's contribution is to improve the modeling approach and to provide modeling patterns for STPA results. The modeling patterns are classified into the controlled process model and the control element model. A simple study case application is performed, and sensitivity analysis results are presented to demonstrate the model's ability to prioritize essential scenarios.

About Speaker: Nanda Anugrah Zikrullah has a BSC in Engineering Physics from Indonesia and an MSc in RAMS from NTNU. He started his PhD candidate work at RAMS group, MTP, NTNU in August 2018 and will finalize his work this autumn 2021. The PhD project is under a joint-industry research project called Safety 4.0, which is lead by DNV and includes several other companies and universities. His PhD working title is "Safety demonstration of novel subsea technologies".

04.03.2021

(8:30 - 9:30,

Digital only)

AutoPRO Norway-China Project Seminar


Title: Digital Twin-based Prognostics and Health Management for Subsea systems: Concepts, Opportunities and Challenges

Abstract: Digital Twin (DT) constitutes to be an important pillar for industrial transformation to digitalization. Both academics and industries have recently started the exploration on methodologies and techniques related to DT. A systematic overview on the relationships and differences between DT and traditional approaches, such as simulation, is thus needed. This paper aims to contributes towards better understanding of DT, by reviewing different DT types in an effort for their grouping and classification. Subsea production is the focusing industry in this study, where conventional corrective/age-based maintenance is shifting towards condition-based maintenance (CBM) and prognostics and health management (PHM). DT is believed to be meaningful to improve efficiencies and reduce costs of such activities, but technical difficulties of DT-based PHM are existing to impede real-world applications. We outline some of these opportunities and identify challenges of DT-based PHM with an aim of highlighting future research perspectives.

About Speaker: Ph.D. Candidate Malik Mohsin Abbas

18.02.2021

(Digital only)

Ph.D. Candidate

Bahareh Tajiani

Title: Mathematical Modeling for Remaining Useful Life Prediction of Bearings

Abstract: Roller bearings are critical components in rotating machinery and many failures are induced by abnormalities in the bearings. In this research, a framework will be presented using empirical wavelet transform (EWT) for fault detection and HI construction, combining with Bayesian inference approach for remaining useful life (RUL) estimation. The datasets are collected by conducting some accelerated life tests in RAMS laboratory. 

About Speaker: Bahareh Tajiani has a BSc in Industrial Engineering from Iran and a MSc in RAMS from NTNU. She started her work as a PhD candidate at RAMS group, MTP, NTNU in August 2019. Her PhD working title is mathematical modeling for remaining useful life (RUL) prediction of bearings which is an internal project at NTNU. 

Opponents: Professor Shen Yin, Ph.D. candidate Tom Ivar Pedersen

04.02.2021

Ph.D. Candidate Aibo Zhang

Title: Prognostics and health management of safety-instrumented systems: approaches of degradation modeling and decision-making

Abstract: Modern industries are developing towards a high-integrated direction with overwhelming complexities bringing benefits and potential risks with catastrophic consequences simultaneously. To reduce the occurrences of undesired events or mitigate their consequences, safety-instrumented systems (SISs), as a type of technical safety barrier, have been widely installed in different applications with the aim to protect people, the environment, and other valued assets. Many SISs operate in a demanded mode, meaning that they are only activated to perform safety functions while the unexpected occurs. For such systems, it is important to conduct proof tests for checking system states and following-up maintenance in case of failures, to keep SISs highly available so as to ensure safety. In current studies, these activities are assumed following a predefined scheme with fixed intervals, independent from the actual system state. However, when more SIS state information can be collected by sensors and in manual tests, the prognostics and health management (PHM) strategy is expected to be more reasonable and cost-efficient.

This PhD project thus aims to explore a new approach to evolve the SISs management from time-based to performance-based taking the technological advancement in data collection. The thesis bridges SISs performance assessment and degradation process through addressing different influence factors in the operational phase, including aging, and impact of demands, etc, for the decision-making in PHM. The practical utility of the thesis resides in the provision of a comprehensive consideration of the time- and event-dependencies of SIS performance, as well as safety and economic meanings of testing and maintenance activities. In particular, the first is to provide hints of system deterioration and relevant health management to reliability analysts when they evaluate SIS design. The second is for operational managers of SISs as the decision-makers, to help them to update testing and maintenance plans and identify the optimal intervention opportunities.

About Speaker: Aibo Zhang is a Ph.D. candidate at RAMS group, MTP, NTNU, with main supervisor of Yiliu Liu and co-supervisor Anne Cecile Barros. He will have his defence on Feb. 10th.

21.01.2021

(Digital only)

Postdoc

Xingheng Liu

Title: Remaining useful life prediction for subsea choke valves: degradation mechanism and candidate models

Abstract: Subsea systems are prone to degradations and failures since they are located in a harsh environment. Due to the inaccessibility, field inspections and maintenance on subsea systems are generally complex, expensive, and cannot be carried out without a certain delay. Thus, predicting the systems' remaining useful lifetime (RUL) bears a recognized value in industrial facilities' safety and economic aspects.

In this presentation, we address RUL prediction for subsea choke valves, which are used to control the flow rate of liquid and gas mixtures and prevent the equipment from unusual pressure fluctuations. After introducing the degradation mechanism, we shall present the health indicator, the needed data, and some candidate models. Finally, an example of a primitive prototype will be demonstrated.

About Speaker: Xingheng Liu is a postdoctoral fellow at RAMS group, MTP, NTNU. His research topic is Prediction and optimization of remaining useful lifetime, which is a part of SUBPRO project. He completed his cotutelle Ph.D. in ROSAS (department of Operational Research, Applied Statistics and Simulation) at the University of Technology of Troyes (fr) and in RAMS at NTNU and earned his Master's and Bachelor's degree in Industrial Engineering at UTT.

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